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Santa Clarita - Single Family Homes

Active Listings - Median and Avg. Prices, No. Listings, DOM

 Weekly update - effective August 23, 2025 


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Single Family Homes Summary Comments

 

Santa Clarita Valley Real Estate Market Analysis: 

Weekly Trends and Community Insights - August 23, 2025


Santa Clarita Valley Market Overview: Strengthening Fundamentals Amid Inventory Decline

The Santa Clarita Valley real estate market demonstrated notable resilience during the four-week period from July 26 to August 23, 2025, with key indicators pointing toward improving market conditions. The overall median price increased from $1,000,000 to $1,034,000, representing a 3.4% uptick that signals sustained buyer demand across this 224,000-resident metropolitan area. More significantly, the average days on market extended from 63 to 69 days, suggesting a more balanced market dynamic as sellers maintain pricing discipline. The total number of active listings decreased from 424 to 381 properties, a 10.1% decline that indicates either increased absorption rates or reduced new listing activity. This inventory contraction, combined with rising median prices, suggests the Santa Clarita Valley market is experiencing a healthy tightening that favors sellers while maintaining accessibility for qualified buyers.


Canyon Country (91351, 91387, 91390): Mixed Signals Across Diverse Neighborhoods

Canyon Country's three distinct zip codes exhibited divergent trends that reflect the area's varied housing stock and buyer preferences. The 91351 zip code experienced a dramatic transformation, with median prices surging from $800,000 to $825,000 while listings dropped from 41 to 35 properties, indicating strong absorption in this more affordable segment of Canyon Country's 93,000 residents. Conversely, the premium 91387 area maintained its $1,100,000 median price point but saw average days on market increase from 65 to 81 days, suggesting luxury buyers are exercising greater selectivity. The 91390 zip code demonstrated the most volatile activity, with median prices rising from $1,029,900 to $1,050,000 despite a concerning increase in days on market from 58 to 77 days. This divergence across Canyon Country's submarkets illustrates the importance of micro-location analysis in current market conditions, where buyer behavior varies significantly based on price points and neighborhood characteristics.


Newhall (91321): Luxury Segment Shows Resilience Despite Market Headwinds

The Newhall community, serving 34,000 residents, displayed remarkable stability in its luxury housing segment while experiencing some market cooling at entry-level price points. The median price increased from $995,000 to $1,059,500, a robust 6.5% gain that outpaced the valley average, while the number of active listings declined from 28 to 26 properties. However, the average days on market extended significantly from 67 to 82 days, indicating that while prices remain firm, properties require additional marketing time to attract qualified buyers. The 5+ bedroom luxury segment showed particular strength, with median prices rising from $1,100,000 to $1,173,945, though days on market for these premium properties increased from 82 to 114 days. This pattern suggests that Newhall's luxury market maintains pricing power but requires more sophisticated marketing strategies and longer exposure periods to achieve successful transactions.


Saugus (91350): Stability Amid Valley-Wide Volatility

Saugus emerged as one of the most stable communities in the Santa Clarita Valley, with its 42,000 residents benefiting from consistent market fundamentals. The median price experienced modest growth from $967,500 to $999,000, crossing the psychologically important $1 million threshold while maintaining reasonable market times. Days on market remained relatively stable, increasing from 61 to 68 days, well within normal seasonal variation ranges. The community maintained a substantial inventory base with 103 listings in July declining to 96 in August, representing healthy but not excessive supply levels. Notably, the 4-bedroom segment, which represents the largest share of Saugus inventory with 46 active listings, showed particular stability with median prices holding at approximately $997,000. This consistency positions Saugus as an attractive option for move-up buyers seeking established neighborhoods with predictable market dynamics.


Valencia East (91354): Premium Location Maintains Market Leadership

Valencia's 91354 zip code, serving a significant portion of the community's 88,000 residents, demonstrated why it remains one of the most sought-after areas in the Santa Clarita Valley. Despite a slight decline in median price from $987,000 to $949,950, the area showed strong underlying demand with days on market improving from 57 to 53 days, indicating efficient price discovery and robust buyer activity. The number of active listings decreased from 69 to 65 properties, suggesting steady absorption rates despite the modest price adjustment. The 4-bedroom segment, which dominates Valencia's housing stock with 27 active listings, showed particular strength with days on market improving from 38 to 41 days while maintaining pricing near the $1 million mark. This performance reflects Valencia's reputation for excellent schools, planned communities, and convenient access to employment centers throughout Los Angeles County.


Valencia West (91355): Market Recalibration in Progress

The western Valencia area experienced notable market adjustments during the analysis period, with median prices declining from $991,900 to $949,900 while maintaining relatively stable marketing times. Days on market increased modestly from 68 to 63 days, suggesting that the price adjustments are facilitating more efficient transactions. The reduction in active listings from 40 to 30 properties indicates either successful absorption at adjusted price levels or seller reluctance to enter the market at current pricing. The luxury 5+ bedroom segment maintained its premium positioning with median prices holding steady at $1,449,450, though this represents a small sample size of only 4-5 active listings. This market recalibration appears to be positioning 91355 for renewed activity as buyers recognize improved value opportunities in this desirable Valencia submarket.


Stevenson Ranch (91381): Luxury Enclave Demonstrates Pricing Resilience

Stevenson Ranch, the valley's most exclusive community with 21,000 residents, maintained its position as the premium market leader despite some softening in transaction velocity. The median price declined slightly from $1,274,900 to $1,269,950, a minimal 0.4% adjustment that demonstrates remarkable pricing stability in the luxury segment. However, days on market decreased from 83 to 79 days, indicating that luxury buyers remain active when properties are appropriately priced. The community maintained steady inventory levels with 32 active listings in both reporting periods, suggesting a balanced supply-demand dynamic. The 5+ bedroom segment, which comprises the majority of Stevenson Ranch's housing stock, showed particular resilience with 17 active listings maintaining median prices near $1,350,000. This performance reflects the community's reputation for executive housing, resort-style amenities, and proximity to major employment centers in the West San Fernando Valley.


Market Implications and Strategic Considerations for Buyers and Sellers

The Santa Clarita Valley real estate market is demonstrating characteristics of a mature, stabilizing market that offers opportunities for both buyers and sellers who understand local dynamics. The overall 10.1% reduction in active listings combined with modest price appreciation suggests improving market balance, though the increase in average days on market indicates buyers are exercising more deliberate decision-making processes. Properties priced appropriately for their respective submarkets continue to attract qualified buyers within reasonable timeframes, while overpriced listings face extended marketing periods. The divergent performance across communities and price points underscores the importance of hyper-local market knowledge and strategic pricing decisions. For sellers, the data suggests that realistic pricing aligned with recent comparable sales will yield optimal results, while buyers may benefit from expanded inventory selection and more negotiating leverage compared to the market conditions prevalent in 2021-2022. The market's evolution toward greater balance creates opportunities for well-informed participants who can navigate the nuanced dynamics of each community and price segment within the broader Santa Clarita Valley real estate ecosystem.


Santa Clarita Real Estate Activity

Active Listings and Past Four-Week Sales


Weekly update - effective August 23, 2025


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Market Activity Summary Comments

 

Santa Clarita Valley Real Estate Brokerage Market Weekly Analysis: 

July 26 - August 23, 2025 Performance Trends and Industry Trends


Overall Market Activity: Minimal Inventory Growth Masks Shifting Transaction Patterns

The Santa Clarita Valley real estate brokerage landscape demonstrated remarkable stability during the four-week period from July 26 to August 23, 2025, with total active listings remaining essentially flat at 1,001 to 1,002 properties. However, this surface-level stability conceals important underlying shifts in market dynamics. Contingent listings decreased from 137 to 134 properties (-2.2%), while pending transactions increased from 185 to 189 (+2.2%), suggesting a slight acceleration in the progression from contract to closing. Most notably, completed four-week sales declined from 173 to 144 transactions (-16.8%), indicating a potential cooling in overall market velocity. The contingent and pending phases combined represented 32.17% of total market activity in July, rising to 32.23% in August, demonstrating that approximately one-third of all listed properties are actively under contract or moving toward completion.


Top Five Brokerages: Market Leaders Face Inventory and Sales Pressure

The dominant five brokerages—Equity Union, eXp Realty, Keller Williams, Pinnacle Estate Properties, and RE/MAX—experienced a notable contraction in their collective market presence during the analysis period. Their combined active listings decreased from 377 to 363 properties (-3.7%), while their market share dropped from 37.7% to 36.2% of total inventory. This decline suggests either strategic inventory management or competitive pressure from emerging brokerages. The top five firms maintained their dominance in contingent listings, holding 44.8% of the market compared to 48.2% in July, indicating strong buyer representation capabilities. However, their share of pending transactions remained steady at approximately 41.3%-41.6%, while completed sales declined from 84 to 69 transactions (-17.9%). This 18% reduction in closed transactions significantly outpaced the overall market decline of 17%, suggesting that even market leaders are experiencing transaction velocity challenges in the current environment.


Market Share Concentration: Established Players Maintain Dominance Despite Headwinds

The concentration of market activity among the top five brokerages reveals important insights about the Santa Clarita Valley's competitive landscape. While these firms control over one-third of active inventory, their 47.9% share of recent sales demonstrates superior transaction conversion rates compared to smaller competitors. The slight erosion in their overall market share from 37.7% to 36.2% may reflect the natural market cycle where smaller, more agile firms capture opportunities during transition periods. The top five firms' consistent performance in managing contingent and pending transactions—representing 44.8% and 41.3% respectively—indicates robust operational systems and client management capabilities that smaller competitors struggle to match. This market leadership position provides these firms with significant advantages in terms of market intelligence, referral networks, and negotiating leverage with service providers.


Emerging Brokerage Activity: Mid-Tier Firms Show Resilience and Growth

Several mid-tier brokerages demonstrated noteworthy performance improvements during the analysis period, suggesting a dynamic competitive environment beyond the dominant five firms. Nexthome Real Estate Rockstars maintained its position as the largest non-top-five brokerage with 37-38 active listings, while showing consistent transaction flow with 6 sales in each reporting period. Real Brokerage Technologies experienced significant growth, expanding from 14 to 21 active listings (+50%) while maintaining strong sales velocity with 5 completed transactions. Prime Real Estate PC also showed expansion, growing from 19 to 21 active listings (+10.5%) with improved sales performance from 1 to 3 transactions. Coldwell Banker demonstrated operational efficiency improvements, increasing active listings from 26 to 29 while significantly boosting pending transactions from 3 to 8, suggesting improved client conversion rates.


Specialized and Boutique Firm Performance: Niche Players Navigate Market Challenges

The extensive roster of smaller brokerages reveals a highly fragmented market where specialized firms compete for specific market segments. Luxury Collective maintained its position as a significant player with 20-21 active listings, though their sales declined from 3 to 2 transactions, reflecting the broader luxury market slowdown. Technology-enabled brokerages like Opendoor showed mixed results, with active listings declining from 12 to 10 but maintaining steady transaction flow. Traditional full-service firms like Realty Executives and Realty One Group experienced varying fortunes—Realty Executives maintained consistent inventory levels (37-36 listings) with stable sales, while Realty One Group saw inventory decline from 15 to 9 listings. 


Technology and Innovation Impact: Digital Platforms Reshape Market Dynamics

The data reveals significant activity among technology-enabled real estate platforms and innovative brokerage models. Companies like Compass increased their market presence from 13 to 16 active listings while doubling their pending transactions from 1 to 3, suggesting successful adoption of their technology-driven approach. Redfin maintained substantial market presence with 22-24 active listings and consistent transaction flow, demonstrating the viability of discount brokerage models in the Santa Clarita market. The presence of specialized online platforms and iBuyer models like Opendoor reflects the ongoing digital transformation of real estate transactions. These technology-enabled firms collectively represent approximately 8-10% of total market activity, indicating substantial penetration of innovative business models in what has traditionally been a relationship-driven industry.


Market Fragmentation and Competitive Landscape: Opportunities in Specialization

The extensive list of over 200 individual brokerages and agents operating in the Santa Clarita Valley demonstrates remarkable market fragmentation that creates both challenges and opportunities. While the top five firms control approximately 36-38% of inventory, the remaining 62-64% is distributed among hundreds of smaller players, many operating with just 1-3 active listings. This fragmentation suggests opportunities for consolidation or strategic partnerships, particularly among firms with complementary geographic or demographic specializations. The presence of numerous international and luxury-focused firms like Sotheby's International Realty, The Agency, and various boutique operations indicates sophisticated buyer and seller demands that support premium service providers. This market structure benefits consumers through increased competition and service differentiation while challenging individual agents to develop clear value propositions and operational efficiencies.


Strategic Implications and Market Evolution: Positioning for Future Growth

The Santa Clarita Valley brokerage market appears to be entering a consolidation phase where operational efficiency and client service quality will determine long-term success. The slight decline in overall transaction velocity (-17%) combined with inventory stability suggests a maturing market where established firms with superior systems and market knowledge will outperform smaller competitors lacking institutional support. The success of technology-enabled platforms indicates that traditional brokerages must embrace digital tools and innovative service delivery methods to remain competitive. The diverse range of specialized firms suggests that niche strategies focusing on specific property types, geographic areas, or client demographics can succeed alongside larger full-service operations. Market participants should anticipate continued evolution toward hybrid models combining technology efficiency with personalized service, while smaller firms may find success through strategic partnerships or specialization in underserved market segments. The overall market structure supports both large-scale operations and boutique firms, providing multiple pathways for growth depending on strategic focus and execution capabilities.


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