Cycle model points to a downward bias in 30-year mortgage rates into January, 2026.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (Symbol - TLT)
Cycle model points to declining prices (rising 20-year rates) into July followed by rising prices (falling rates) into early 2026.
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (Symbol - UUP)
2/24/25: Cycle model turns down in mid-July and trends lower into January, 2026. This would normally be a positive signal for the major stock market averages and precious metals.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (Symbol - SPY)
Cycle model indicates caution looking out over the next 18 months. Seasonality (light blue line continuing after the end of the solid blue line) is positive for most of 2025.
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